Revealed: The Five Nightmare Certainties of Staying IN the EU

1. The UK will continue to send £350 million to Brussels every week.
2. Free movement of people will continue permanently. This will get worse when Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey join the EU.
3. EU regulation will continue to cost British companies over £600 million each week.
4. We will continue to be unable to remove criminals and terrorists whose presence in the UK is not conducive to the public good.
5. We will have to pay out up to £43 billion in tax refunds to multinational businesses.

Commenting, Vote Leave Chief Executive Matthew Elliott said:

‘If people vote to stay, they are voting for the free movement of people from Europe to the UK, permanently. This will get worse when Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey join the EU. British business will continue to be strangled by EU regulation and we will continue to send £50 million each week to Brussels.

‘If we Vote Leave on 23 June, we take back control of our money, our borders and our democracy. That’s the safer option for our future.’

The UK will continue to send £350 million to Brussels every week.

In 2014, the UK’s gross contributions to the EU budget were £19,107 million, or £367 million per week.

The Head of the UK Statistics Authority, Sir Andrew Dilnot, has said ‘Yes, the £19.1 billion figure is a legitimate figure… the official statistics are the £19.1 billion’.

Free movement of people will continue permanently. This will get worse when Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey join the EU.

After the renegotiation, the unamended EU Treaties will still give every citizen of the EU the right to come to the UK. The EU Treaties provide that: ‘Citizens of the Union shall enjoy… the right to move and reside freely within the territory of the Member States’.

In 2015, 270,000 persons came to the UK from the EU, the equivalent of the population of Newcastle. Net migration was 184,000, the equivalent of adding a city the size of Oxford to the UK population each year.

There are currently five candidate countries: Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey. When they join, their 88 million citizens will also acquire the right of free movement. As the Government has admitted, ‘once a country becomes a Member State of the EU its citizens have the same rights under EU law as other EU nationals‘.

EU regulation will continue to cost British companies over £600 million each week.

The 100 most costly EU regulations have been estimated to cost British business £33.3 billion each year, or over £600 million per week.

This is likely an underestimate. In 2005, HM Treasury admitted that: ‘although Europe’s founders aimed to remove barriers and reap the benefits of expanded markets internally, they also sought protection and special treatment for particular aspects of their economies such as agriculture. This has brought costs: expensive subsidies still remain in some sectors and it is estimated that barriers to external trade and investment – such as tariffs, quotas and unjustifiably restrictive standards – could cost Europe’s consumers up to 7 per cent of EU GDP‘. This is the equivalent of £125.2 billion per year in today’s prices, or £4,638 per household.

We will continue to be unable to remove criminals and terrorists whose presence in the UK is not conducive to the public good.

EU law prevents us from removing serious criminals. This includes violent killer Theresa Rafacz, a Polish national who killed her husband, including by kicking him in the face with a shod foot while he lay on the ground defenceless and drunk. Mr Justice Hart ruled the offence involved ‘gratuitous violence’. She was sentenced to four years’ imprisonment. Nonetheless, Mr Justice Blake later ruled that EU law prevented her removal, stating that there was ‘no basis’ which could ‘justify her deportation on the grounds of public policy‘.

EU law prevents us from removing persons our courts have concluded are terrorists. In 2015, the Special Immigration Appeals Commission ruled the UK could not exclude the French national ‘ZZ’ from the UK because of EU law, despite the fact that he was a suspected terrorist. The Commission concluded that: ‘We are confident that the Appellant was actively involved in the GIA [Algerian Armed Islamic Group], and was so involved well into 1996. He had broad contacts with GIA extremists in Europe. His accounts as to his trips to Europe are untrue. We conclude that his trips to the Continent were as a GIA activist’.

We will have to pay out up to £43 billion in tax refunds to multinational businesses.

Rulings of the European Court have exposed the taxpayer to massive liabilities for tax refunds to big business. The OBR now forecasts that HMRC will pay out £7.3 billion from 2016-2017 to 2020-2021, an average of £270.43 per household. If HMRC also loses every case currently pending (a further £35.6 billion), the UK will be forced to pay out £42.9 billion, the equivalent of £1,589 per household.

The UK has tried to block these payouts before but its tax legislation has been overruled by the European Court. If we vote to stay, the European Court will continue to take control over our tax system and require multi-billion payouts to the multinational businesses.